Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.000111 0.000123 0.000135 0.000150 0.000166 0.000184 0.000205
2025-11-30 0.000093 0.000109 0.000127 0.000150 0.000176 0.000206 0.000244
2025-12-07 0.000079 0.000098 0.000119 0.000148 0.000183 0.000225 0.000281
2025-12-14 0.000070 0.000091 0.000116 0.000149 0.000193 0.000249 0.000326
2025-12-21 0.000063 0.000084 0.000112 0.000150 0.000202 0.000271 0.000371
2025-12-28 0.000056 0.000078 0.000107 0.000149 0.000208 0.000290 0.000412
2026-01-04 0.000052 0.000074 0.000105 0.000151 0.000218 0.000315 0.000464
2026-01-11 0.000048 0.000070 0.000102 0.000151 0.000226 0.000336 0.000513
2026-01-18 0.000044 0.000066 0.000099 0.000151 0.000232 0.000356 0.000561
2026-01-25 0.000040 0.000062 0.000096 0.000150 0.000237 0.000374 0.000608
2026-02-01 0.000037 0.000059 0.000093 0.000150 0.000243 0.000394 0.000660
2026-02-08 0.000035 0.000056 0.000090 0.000148 0.000246 0.000409 0.000703
2026-02-15 0.000032 0.000053 0.000087 0.000147 0.000252 0.000429 0.000759
2026-02-22 0.000030 0.000051 0.000086 0.000148 0.000259 0.000452 0.000822
2026-03-01 0.000028 0.000048 0.000083 0.000146 0.000262 0.000469 0.000877
2026-03-08 0.000027 0.000047 0.000082 0.000148 0.000272 0.000499 0.000958
2026-03-15 0.000025 0.000045 0.000081 0.000149 0.000279 0.000524 0.001033
2026-03-22 0.000024 0.000043 0.000079 0.000148 0.000283 0.000544 0.001098
2026-03-29 0.000023 0.000042 0.000078 0.000150 0.000294 0.000577 0.001193
2026-04-05 0.000022 0.000041 0.000077 0.000150 0.000301 0.000603 0.001277
2026-04-12 0.000020 0.000039 0.000075 0.000150 0.000306 0.000625 0.001355
2026-04-19 0.000019 0.000038 0.000073 0.000149 0.000310 0.000647 0.001433
2026-04-26 0.000018 0.000036 0.000072 0.000149 0.000316 0.000672 0.001523